基于路网规划的铁路旅客出行路径选择研究  

Study on railway passenger route choice based on railway network planning

作　　者：赵宇刚[1] 洪雁[1] 杨华峰[1] 

机构地区：[1]铁道部经济规划研究院,助理研究员北京100038

出　　处：《铁道经济研究》2014年第1期39-43,共5页Railway Economics Research

基　　金：铁道部资助课题<基于网络的铁路旅客出行行为选择研究>(合同号J2012Z007)

摘　　要：在我国高速铁路网快速发展的背景下,有必要对铁路客运网络与旅客出行行为的关系进行深入研究,为路网规划提供参考依据。基于路网规划阶段确定的包含高速铁路与普速铁路的网络布局结构特征,对铁路旅客出行路径的选择倾向进行研究,建立了用于反映铁路旅客出行路径选择倾向的多项Logit模型,提出了相应的铁路旅客出行路径搜索算法,通过算例分析,验证了模型与算法的有效性,并对铁路路网规划工作提出建议。In the backdrop of rapid development of high speed railway network in China, to provide references for rail- way planning, it is necessary to make in-depth studies of the relationships between railway passenger transport network and passenger travel behavior. Based on layout characteristics of railway network including high speed railways and gen- eral speed railways in network planning stage, choice tendency of railway passenger route is discussed. A muhinomial logit model is built to describe choice tendency of railway passenger route, and the corresponding route search algorithm is developed. The effectiveness of the model and algorithm are validated by example analysis, and recommendations of railway network planning are proposed.

关 键 词：铁路旅客 路网规划 路径选择 多项Logit模型 

分 类 号：F532[经济管理—产业经济]