用运气理论分析2011年甲型H1N1流感及手足口病疫情  

Analyzing endemic situation of infl uenza A(H1N1) and foot and mouth disease in 2011 by doctrine of fi ve evolutive phases and six climatic factors

作　　者：王昌忠[1] 柯资能[1] 刘芳[2] 顾植山 

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术大学科技史与科技考古系,合肥230026 [2]华南师范大学公共管理学院,广州510006 [3]江阴致和堂中医药研究所,江阴214400

出　　处：《中华中医药杂志》2014年第3期669-671,共3页China Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine and Pharmacy

基　　金：国家科技重大专项子课题(No.2012ZX10004301-609)~~

摘　　要：目的:探讨运气理论与甲型H1N1流感和手足口病疫情变化的相关性。方法:依据文献,由运气理论分析认为"甲流"的中医病机和证候特征主要为湿、寒,手足口病的中医病机和证候特征主要为火。结合全国法定传染病疫情报告及4个城市的气象数据,针对2011年的全国疫情分析。结果:"甲流"及手足口病疫情变化趋势与运气、气候变化趋势具有同步性。结论:在气象动态变化中运用运气理论可以较好地诠释"甲流"及手足口病疫情特征的动态变化,为运气理论的应用提供1个参考案例。Objective： To explore the connection between doctrine of five evolutive phases and six climatic factors and influenza A （H1N1） and foot and mouth disease, Methods： Using doctrine of five evolutive phases and six climatic factors, according to reference, the TCM character of pathogenesis and syndrome of influenza A （H1N1） was dampness and cold, while foot and mouth disease was fire. The national endemic situation was analyzed in 2011 based on the national notifiable disease report and meteorological data of four cities. Results： The variation trend of endemic situation of influenza A （H1N1） and foot and mouth disease were synchronous with that of doctrine of five evolutive phases and six climatic factors and climate. Conclusion： In dynamic change of meteorological, the doctrine of five evolutive phases and six climatic factors can make a better annotation dynamic change of endemic situation of influenza A （H1N1） and foot and mouth disease, which also provide a reference for the application of the doctrine.

关 键 词：运气理论 甲型H1N1流感 手足口病 预测 

分 类 号：R226[医药卫生—中医基础理论] R511.7[医药卫生—中医学]