基于综合推理的威胁代价动态评估  

Threat Cost Dynamic Evaluation Based on Comprehensive Inferences

作　　者：旷生玉 郑景嵩 梁璟 

机构地区：[1]电子信息控制重点实验室,成都610036

出　　处：《电子信息对抗技术》2014年第2期55-59,共5页Electronic Information Warfare Technology

摘　　要：针对作战飞机突防过程中威胁代价评估问题提出综合推理方法,引入离散动态贝叶斯网络算法,构建威胁源自主识别网络模型,引入基于最大综合拦截概率的威胁代价评估算法,形成瞬时跟踪概率、连续跟踪概率、杀伤概率等的综合计算模型。通过仿真分析表明,该方法针对地面威胁源实现了自主分类识别和优化代价解算。The comprehensive reasoning algorithm is put forward to solve the threat-cost assess- ment for combat aircraft＇ s penetration process. With the introduction of discrete dynamic Bayes- ian network algorithm under the condition of a shortage of observation data, an automatic threat -source identification network model is built. In addition, the threat-cost assessment algorithm on the basis of maximized comprehensive interception probability is also introduced leading to the formation of a combined calculation model incorporating instantaneous tracking probability, continuous tracking probability and destruction probability. After the comparison of simulation results, it shows that this technique could achieve automatic classification and identification and optimized cost calculation.

关 键 词：威胁代价 离散动态贝叶斯网络 拦截概率 

分 类 号：TN971[电子电信—信号与信息处理]