铁矿石价格上涨成因分析——基于博弈论视角  

Cause Analysis of the Rising Price of Iron Ore

作　　者：范素军[1] 王敏彦[1] 吴艳茹[2] 范丽君 

机构地区：[1]河北医科大学基础医学院,河北石家庄050017 [2]河北医科大学物理教研室,河北石家庄050017 [3]招商银行广州分行,广东广州510000

出　　处：《河北经贸大学学报（综合版）》2014年第1期60-62,共3页Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Business(Comprehensive Edition)

基　　金：河北省科技计划项目(11213579)

摘　　要：钢铁作为重要的战略物资广泛应用于社会经济的各个领域,而国际铁矿石的价格直接影响了我国钢铁企业的生产成本。通过调查国内外铁矿石市场形势,利用博弈论原理建立数学模型进行数理分析。结果显示:铁矿石价格近些年上涨的主要原因,首先是我国钢铁企业对铁矿刚需;其次,众钢企无法共同进退;再次,钢企联盟不利,勾结寡头促使价格上涨等。As an important strategic material, steel widely used in each field of social economy, and the international iron ore prices directly affect the cost of production cost of iron and steel enterprises in China. From the analysis of domestic iron ore market situation, and use game theory to establish the mathematical model, the results show the main causes of iron ore prices rising in recent years, which firstly, our country＆#39;s iron and steel enterprises have rigidness request for the iron ore, secondly, all those steel enterprises cannot advance and develop commonly, thirdly, the steel enterprises alliance is harmful and promote the price rise.

关 键 词：铁矿石定价 寡头垄断 博弈论 贴现因子 生产成本 谈判机制 谈判破裂率 

分 类 号：F224.32[经济管理—国民经济]