区域经济增长中的“结构红利假说”检验  

An Empirical Research Based on“Structure-bonus”Phenomenon Appears during the Regional Economic Growth

作　　者：郭进 杨建文 

机构地区：[1]上海社科院部门经济所,上海200235

出　　处：《贵州财经大学学报》2014年第3期17-23,共7页Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目"中西部地区承接产业转移的重点和政策研究"(项目批准号:11AZD008)

摘　　要："结构红利假说"认为,当投入要素从低生产率或者低生产率增长部门向高生产率或高生产率增长部门流动时,会促进全要素生产率增长。针对这一假说,以上海为样本应用偏离—份额法和全要素生产率分解法,检验了1978—2011年间区域经济增长中的结构红利现象,结果表明上海34年来的经济增长主要来自各产业的内部增长效应,结构变迁效应并不显著,结构红利对经济增长的推动仅是阶段性现象,突出表现在劳动生产率增长较低时期,产业结构变迁较为明显,其他时期经济增长主要依靠各产业的内部增长效应。In this paper, a single structure dynamic Shift -Share Analysis model has been created, and the model applied to measure the effect of structural change on regional economic growth in different time periods. The study illustrates that the impact of structural effect on ShangHai＇s economic growth is decreasing during the thirty four years since China＇ s economic reform in 1978, and gradually exceeded by the impact of technical advance. On this basis, this paper put forward to analyze the pro- vincial Total factor Productivity, Our analysis indicate that the economic growth has been increasing owing to enlarged Invest- ment and the increasing of total factor productivity growth, particularly the increasing of Investment.

关 键 词：产业结构 全要素生产率 偏离份额法 

分 类 号：F270[经济管理—企业管理]