基于四阶段法的兰州市雁滩商业圈交通需求预测  

Traffic Demand Forecasting in Yantan Business Circles in Lanzhou Based on Four-Stage Method

作　　者：孟博翔 

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学交通运输学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《交通科技与经济》2014年第2期27-30,共4页Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications

摘　　要：交通需求预测是交通影响分析和区域规划中的重要组成部分,可以提前消除和避免一些交通隐患和交通问题。兰州市雁滩商业圈作为兰州市重要的新型商业圈,由于发展速度快、建设规模大,对周边的交通产生很大影响。利用四阶段法,得出交通需求预测结果,该结果能够直观地表示出未来规划年潜在的交通出行量,为雁滩商业圈新建企业的交通影响评价及城市区域规划提供理论依据和指导。Traffic demand forecasting is an significant part of traffic impact analysis and regional planning, which can eliminate and avoid some traffic hidden trouble in advance and traffic problems.Yantan business circle as an important new city commercial circle in Lanzhou,has developed fast with a construction scale, will undoubtedly have a big impact on surrounding traffic.In this paper,using the method of four stages, there is a result of the traffic demand forecast,which can be intuitive show planning in potential transportation volume,can be a theoretical basis or a guidance of traffic impact assessment and urban regional planning in Yantan commercial circle.

关 键 词：四阶段法 交通分布预测 交通生成预测 交通出行预测 交通方式结构预测 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]