现代时间序列分析方法的猎扫雷作战效果评估  

Research on Operational Effect Evaluation of Mine-hunting and Mine-sweeping Based on Modern Time Series Analysis

作　　者：任东彦[1] 孙明太[1] 赵志允[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院青岛校区,山东青岛266041

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2014年第5期79-82,共4页Fire Control & Command Control

摘　　要：针对常规Kalman滤波在猎扫雷作战效果评估中退化为次优,特别是对混布雷阵效果评估精度低的问题,研究了将现代时间序列分析方法应用于猎扫雷作战效果评估。通过对4种典型雷阵的仿真和分析,对比了2种方法的优缺点。结果表明:现代时间序列分析方法比常规Kalman滤波评估更有效,尤其对混布雷阵也有很好的评估效果,且计算过程简便,提高了估计精度。To solve the problem of deterioration from optimality to suboptimal in operational effect evaluation of mine-hunting and mine-sweeping by Kalman filter,especially the problem of low precision in operational effect evaluation of the interweaving mine obstacle,modern time series analysis is used for operational effect evaluation. The merit and shortcoming of two kinds of methods are contrasted by the simulation and analysis of four typical mine obstacle.The research testifies that modern time series analysis is much more effective than Kalman filter and especially has good operational effect for interweaving mine obstacle.The process of calculation is brief.The method can improve the precision of operational effect evaluation.

关 键 词：作战效果评估 现代时间序列分析 KALMAN滤波 

分 类 号：TJ01[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]