突发事件过程中暴动人群演化模型与仿真  

Emergency Incidents during the Riots Burst Evolution Model and Simulation of Crowd

作　　者：李本先[1,2] 迟妍[2] 

机构地区：[1]武警警官学院管理科学与工程系,成都610213 [2]国防科学技术大学信息系统与管理学院军信系,长沙410073

出　　处：《重庆理工大学学报（自然科学）》2014年第6期81-87,共7页Journal of Chongqing University of Technology：Natural Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71103195)

摘　　要：突发性群体事件中人群的暴动与多种因素密切相关,事件过程中人群的暴动具有一定的演化规律。运用系统动力学与Agent建模相结合的方法对暴动人群的演化规律进行了研究。结果表明:群体性事件演化受到多种因素的影响,是多种因素的综合体;事件发生过程中,与事件信息的传播具有较强的依赖关系,事件处置的速度与效率对整个事态的控制具有决定性作用。这一研究对了解群体事件的演化规律具有理论与实践意义。Sudden riots incidents of population groups are closely associated with a variety of factors. During the process, the evolution of the population has some regularity. In this paper, System Dynam- ics and Agent Modeling were proposed to understand the evolution of riots crowd. The experimental results show that the evolution of emergency incidents has been affected by many factors. It is a syn- thesis of a variety of factors. During the course of incident, the events of information and communica- tion have a strong dependency. Speed and efficiency of control over the entire incident were playing a decisive role. This research has implications for understanding the theory and practice of group events evolution.

关 键 词：暴动人群 SD AB模型 恐怖事件 信息控制 演化模型 

分 类 号：TP393[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]