上海市城市垃圾产生量因子分析与灰色预测  

Factor Analysis and Grey Model of Municipal Domestic Refuse Yidlds in shanghai City

作　　者：刘够生[1] 宋兴福[1] 张里杨 于建国[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东理工大学资源与环境工程学院,上海200237

出　　处：《环境与开发》2001年第3期33-34,43,共3页Environment and Exploitation

摘　　要：运用灰色关联度方法 ,定量分析了上海市城市生活垃圾产生量的主要因子 ,并利用灰色系统理论建立了城市垃圾产生量的GM(1 ,1 )模型 ,所建模型经精度检验合格 ,具有一定的可行性和适用性 。Based on statistical data on municipal domestic refuse yields from 1990 to 1999 in Shanghai city,the method of grey correlation coefficient analysis was used to quantitatively study the key factors affecting refuse yields.A grey dynamic model GM(1,1) was established to predict the generation amount,the prediction precision of GM(1,1) model was tested by residual-revision method and was proved to be feasible and suitable.The method and results of this study was useful for management and planning of municipal domestic refuse yields in Shanghai city.

关 键 词：城市垃圾 关联度分析 灰色预测 GM(1 1)模型 上海 产生量因子分析 

分 类 号：X833[环境科学与工程—环境工程] X705