基于神经网络的大连经济增长模拟与预测  

Simulation and prediction of Dalian′s economic growth based on neural networks

作　　者：韩震[1] 姜照华[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学21世纪发展研究中心,辽宁大连116024

出　　处：《大连理工大学学报》2001年第6期752-756,共5页Journal of Dalian University of Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目 ( 70 0 410 2 2 )

摘　　要：随着经济的进一步发展 ,研究经济发展规律、预测经济增长 ,使之能更科学、客观地反映一个国家或地区的经济实际 ,变得越来越重要 .以大连市改革开放 2 0 a的历史数据作为样本 ,运用神经网络方法 ,在 MATLAB平台上对大连 GDP、物价、就业、财政收入与各产业的关系。With the development of economic system, how to describe its growth objectively and reasonably is becoming more and more important. In this paper, the authors intend to simulate the Dalian′s economic system based on neural networks. Furthermore, the Dalian′s economic growth in the next five years including Dalian′s GDP, prices, employment, each domain, foreign trade and international tourism, will be forecasted according to 20 years′ data. And practice has proved that the result is reasonable.

关 键 词：预测 神经网络 经济系统 经济增长 大连市 动态模拟 

分 类 号：F127.31[经济管理—世界经济]