环境规制、技术创新与经济增长——基于2008—2015年中国省际面板数据的实证分析  

Environmental Regulation,Technological Innovation and Economic Growth——Empirical Analysis Based on Provincial Panel Data of China in 2008—2015

作　　者：许长新[1] 胡丽媛 XU Chang-xin;HU Li-yuan(School of Business,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏南京211100

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2019年第1期1-6,共6页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"虚拟水贸易视角下区域农业水土资源耦合模型研究"(编号:51279058)

摘　　要：基于2008—2015年我国省际动态面板数据,通过系统GMM方法实证分析环境规制对经济增长的影响和技术创新在两者关系间的调节效应,构建面板门槛模型探究环境规制的技术创新效应与经济增长的非线性关系,进一步构建空间面板杜宾模型,检验环境规制、技术创新对经济增长的空间溢出效应。结果显示:环境规制本身对经济增长存在负向影响,而环境规制的技术创新效应对经济增长产生显著的促进作用;环境规制与技术创新交互项对经济增长呈现出单一的门槛效应,当环境规制强度跨过临界值时,环境规制通过技术创新渠道对经济增长由促进作用转变为抑制作用;环境规制对相邻地区的经济增长呈现出负向空间溢出效应,技术创新对相邻地区具有正向空间溢出效应。Based on provincial-level dynamic panel data from 2008 to 2015,the system GMM method was used to empirically analyze the impact of environmental regulation on economic growth and the moderating effect of technological innovation in the relationship between the two.This paper constructed the panel threshold model to explore the nonlinear relationship between the technological innovation effect of environmental regulation and economic growth.And it further constructed the spatial panel Dubin model to test the spatial spillover effect of environmental regulation and technological innovation on economic growth.The results showed that the environmental regulation had a negative impact on economic growth,and the technological innovation effect of environmental regulation had a significant effect on economic growth.The interaction between environmental regulation and technological innovation had a single threshold effect on economic growth.When the intensity of environmental regulation exceeded the critical value,environmental regulation would turn from the promotion of economic growth to the suppression through the channels of technological innovation.Environmental regulation presented a negative spatial spillover effect on economic growth in neighboring regions,and technological innovation had a positive spatial spillover effect on neighboring regions.

关 键 词：环境规制 技术创新 经济增长 门槛效应 空间面板 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]