未来我国人口、经济、资源、环境与可持续发展的情景分析  

The Scenario Analysis on Population, Economic, Resource, Environment and Sustainable Development in the Future of China

作　　者：何林[1] 袁建华[1] 许屹[1] 姜涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京信息控制研究所,北京100037

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2002年第7期131-133,共3页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

基　　金：国家自然科学基金 (7993 0 80 0 ) ;国家科技项目计划专题研究 (96-92 0 -17-0 2 )

摘　　要：通过未来 5 0年我国人口、经济、资源、环境与可持续发展的情景分析 ,认为人口基数大 ,仍是我国可持续发展的首要问题 ,2 1世纪我们还必须坚持计划生育 。The paper attempts to make a scenario analysis of the population, economic, resource, environment and sustainable development in the future 50 years of China. The findings of the analysis show that huge cardinal number of population is still the chief factor of sustainable development in China, we have to insist on the base national policy - family planning, to control the increasing of population.

关 键 词：人口 资源 经济 环境 可持续发展 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]