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出 处:《兰州大学学报(社会科学版)》2014年第4期113-119,共7页Journal of Lanzhou University(Social Sciences)
基 金:教育部人文社科项目(12YJC790030)
摘 要:运用包含非合意产出的SBM模型,测算我国30个省(市)区2000—2010年的低碳经济发展效率,并对区域差异进行分析;进而通过面板Tobit模型对影响低碳经济发展的相关因素进行探索。研究发现:1)全国大部分省(市)区低碳经济发展效率在2002年达到最高,此后呈逐年下降的趋势,且不同省(市)区和不同区域之间低碳经济发展效率存在较大差异;2)Tobit模型结果显示,产业结构、经济发展水平、能源消费结构和能源消耗强度均与低碳经济发展水平呈负相关关系,城镇化对低碳经济的发展有正向的影响。By using the non-consensual output SBM model, the growth rate of low-carbon economy in 30 provinces (municipalities) over the years of 2000-2010 is measured and the discrepancies among different regions have been analyzed. Through the panel Tobit model, factors prohibiting to the development of low-carbon economy have been examined. The result shows: 1) low-carbon economy in most provinces (municipalities) has reached its peak in 2002, followed by a declining trend, and the growth rate of low-carbon economy in different provinces (municipalities) shows discrepancies. 2) the panel Tobit model shows that a negative correlation exists between the developmental level of low-carbon economy and industrial structures, levels of economic development, structures of energy consumption, and intensities of energy consumption. In contrast, urbanization is a positive factor to the development of low-carbon economy.
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