宏观调控政策对房产需求市场的影响分析——基于互补均衡模型  

IMPACT ANALYSIS OF MACRO-CONTROL POLICIES ON THE REAL ESTATE MARKET DEMAND——BASED ON COMPLEMENTARY EQUILIBRIUM MODEL

作　　者：郑邦贵[1] 邓晓卫[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京工业大学理学院应用数学系,南京211816

出　　处：《系统科学与数学》2014年第6期641-652,共12页Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences

基　　金：教育部人文社科规划项目(11YJA910001);全国统计科学研究项目(2011LY010);国家自然科学基金青年基金(41101509)资助课题

摘　　要：在微观经济学原理的基础上,利用互补条件,建立了房产市场的互补均衡模型:详细描述模型的结构特征和建模过程;并利用增量定量分析房产调控政策对需求市场的影响;最后给出了模拟分析.研究结论表明,实际模拟结果和理论模型的定量分析结果是吻合的,首付率,贷款利率对房产需求市场作用明显,经济适用房能够激活房产市场交易.This paper formulates a complementary equilibrium model about the real estate market based on the complementary problem and the principles of microeconomics. We describe the structural characteristic of the complementary equilibrium model and the modeling process in detail. Then, we use the increments to analyze of the influence of property control policies on market demand quantificationally. Fi- nally, an empirical analysis is given. The conclusion of the study shows that, the results of quantitative analysis are in good agreement with that of the theoretical model. The ratio of down payment and interest rate on loan act obviously on the real estate market demand, and affordable housing can activate the real estate market, also.

关 键 词：宏观调控 房产新政 需求市场 互补问题 均衡解 

分 类 号：F299.23[经济管理—国民经济]