教育投资会显著的促进经济增长么?——基于var模型的实证分析  

Will the Investment in Education Promote Economic Growth Significantly?——An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR model

作　　者：陈欣[1] 卜振兴[2] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学高等教育研究所,天津300071 [2]南开大学经济学院国际经济研究所,天津300071

出　　处：《产业经济评论》2014年第3期55-64,共10页Review of Industrial Economics

摘　　要：本文基于1992年～2012年的中国教育经费投入和经济增长的数据，利用向量自回归模型探讨了教育投资对经济增长的影响。除考虑教育投资外，我们还引入了消费、企业投资、政府投资以及净出口对经济增长的影响。检验结果表明：相对于其他参考变量，教育投资对于经济增长有更明显的拉动作用，并且对经济增长的影响较为持续。最后，根据实证结果，提出了相关政策建议。The paper use the Vector Auto regression model to study the effect of education investment to economic growth based on the data about the education input and economic growth of china in the years of 1992-2012. In addition to considering the education investment, we also study the effect of the consumer, corporate investment, government consumption and net export to economic growth. After examination, we found that： compared with other reference variables, education investment stimulating effect is more obvious for economic growth, and the impact on economic growth more sustainable.Finally, According to the empirical results, the paper Put forward the policy recommendations to education investment.

关 键 词：教育投资 经济增长 向量自回归模型 

分 类 号：G526.7[文化科学—教育学] F124[文化科学—教育技术学] F224[经济管理—世界经济]