代建制下多项目管理风险等级评价  

Risk Assessment of Multi-Project Management under the Agent Construction System

作　　者：段辉霞 张云波[1,2] 项剑平[1] 王玉芳[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]华侨大学土木工程学院,福建厦门361021 [2]华侨大学建设管理与房地产研究所,福建厦门361021

出　　处：《华侨大学学报（自然科学版）》2014年第4期454-459,共6页Journal of Huaqiao University(Natural Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71303082);福建省自然科学基金青年创新项目(2012J05095);中央高校基本科研业务基金资助项目(11QZR06)

摘　　要：为解决代建制下多项目管理中存在的风险问题,根据可拓学理论,建立评价物元模型.采用熵权法计算指标权重,构建基于熵权可拓决策的风险评价模型,并对代建制下多项目管理风险等级进行评价.研究结果表明:由关联度数据,可以获知指标层对准则层的关联重要情况;根据权重,可以得出对于目标层准则层的影响程度.To solve the risk of multi-project management under the agent construction system, the matter-element model for assessment was established by the extension theory. The index weight was calculated by the entropy method, then the assessment model of risk based on entropy method and extension theory was constructed. Itrs shown that connections between indexes layer and criterion layer can be acquired according to the correlation data, and then influence degree of criterion layer to object layer can be obtained according to the index weight.

关 键 词：项目管理 代建制 熵权法 可拓理论 风险评价 

分 类 号：O189[理学—数学] F224.5[理学—基础数学]