低碳城市发展阶段划分与特征分析  

Analysis on Stages and Characteristics of Low-carbon City

作　　者：路超君[1,2] 秦耀辰[1] 张金萍[3] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学环境与规划学院/黄河中下游地理数字技术教育部重点实验室,河南开封475004 [2]中国环境科学研究院能源与环境研究室,北京100012 [3]聊城大学环境与规划学院,山东聊城252059

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2014年第8期12-16,共5页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41171438;41201602);国家重大科学研究计划项目(2012CB955804)

摘　　要：低碳城市是城市发展到一定时期的特殊形态,是目前低碳研究中的热点之一。梳理了低碳城市的研究进展,以城市发展阶段理论和脱钩理论为基础,尝试对城市低碳发展进行阶段划分。以城市碳基能源排放为核心指标,把低碳城市发展历程划分了5个阶段:初级阶段、急速上升阶段、锁定阶段、解锁阶段和高级阶段。初级阶段碳排放量处于较低水平并平稳上升;急速上升阶段碳基能源密集使用,碳排放量急速上升;锁定阶段受技术和制度等影响,城市碳排放减速上升,直至碳排放拐点出现;解锁阶段城市碳排放量峰值被突破呈下降趋势;高级阶段城市碳排放量下降到较低水平后仍保持缓慢下降趋势。最后,就每个阶段的碳基能源排放驱动力特征进行了分析,并以深圳市为案例,对其低碳发展阶段进行了研判。Low-carbon City is a special form in the development of a city. It is one of low carbon research hotspots. The paper reviewed the foreign and domestic researches on low-carbon city. Based on and theoretical basis about stage of city development and Decoupling, the whole development process of low-carbon city were divided into five phases by using a core indicator which is carbon- based energy emissions. In this paper, the characteristics of driving forces of carbon emission change were sum up respectively. At last, take Shenzhen City as a case to study and judge its low-carbon development stage.

关 键 词：低碳城市 阶段划分 碳基能源 脱钩 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学]