供应链上下游企业不合作信息博弈的应急协调分析  

The Disruption Coordination Analysis of Enterprises in Supply Chain based on Noncooperation Game Information

作　　者：萧海东[1] 陆斯婕[1] 季建华[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学中美物流研究院,上海20030 [2]上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海20030

出　　处：《上海管理科学》2014年第5期28-34,共7页Shanghai Management Science

摘　　要：以供应系统的突发事件为研究对象,确定制造商作为供应链中的核心企业,引进紧急系数的概念,实现突发事件下对供应品的分类管理,在此基础上以制造商获得供应商告知实情,防止劣质产品供应以及期望收益的最大化为准则,对供需双方冲突进行博弈分析,从时间、收益等多个维度刻画突发事件可能造成的危害和可挽救度,建立不同等级供应品的供应系统动态应急模型,并分多阶段对突发事件进行动态协调,促进突发事件的快速恢复。最后通过实际案例,分析供应商和制造商的期望收益,给出不同等级供应品的应急预案流程,并对流程优化以及日常运营管理提出相应的建议。As the hypothesis that manufacturer is the core enterprise in the supply chain disruption research, emergency degree should be introduced for supplies classify management. Moreover, it is important for manufacturer to keep on getting the actual conditions from supplier, and avoid the inferior products coming into the whole supply chain. Because of this, game theory is used to analyze dyadic conflict in different situation. Then damages and recoverable possibility caused by the disruption can be described from different dimension, like time, income, etc.. At last, actual case is chosen for verify the model＇s feasibility. In this part, the expected revenue for suppliers and manufacturer is shown in different pictures, and according to that, dynamic coordination process under multiple stages can be set up so that disruptions could recover in time. By the analysis above, related suggestions can be given for process optimization and operations management.

关 键 词：突发事件 供应品分类 信息博弈 实证分析 

分 类 号：F272[经济管理—企业管理]