模糊专家系统的连锁失效方法及在船舶消防中的应用  

Cascading Failure Evaluation of Fuzzy Expert System and Its Application in Ship Automatic Fire Alarm

作　　者：金鸿章[1] 邹艾利[1] 姚绪梁[1] 张艳丽[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工程大学自动化学院,哈尔滨150001 [2]佳木斯大学信息电子技术学院,黑龙江佳木斯154007

出　　处：《船舶工程》2014年第5期92-95,共4页Ship Engineering

基　　金：国防军工技术基础(Z192011B001)

摘　　要：提出一种基于模糊专家系统的连锁性失效测评方法,建立基于该系统的连锁性失效测评指标,根据不同的输入参数,能够给出不同的决策结果。以船舶火灾自动报警系统为例,对船舶火灾自动报警系统以舱室为单元进行模块化建模,尤其考虑了舱室之间关联信息、报警时间和舱室着火温度三个对连锁失效起重要作用的影响因子。仿真结果说明了该方法的准确性与有效性并通过和故障树方法对比阐述了该方法的优越性。The cascading failure evaluation method based on fuzzy expert system and the cascading failure indexes were proposed in this paper. Strategic decisions can be made according to different input parameters. Taking a ship automatic fire alarm system as an example, modular modeling it with a cabin as a unit, especially the links between cabins, alarm time and temperature of fired cabin, which are three most important factors. Accuracy and validity of the method proposed were proved by the simulation results and advantages were interpreted by the comparison with the fault tree method

关 键 词：智能船舶火灾自动报警系统 模糊专家系统 连锁性失效 测评 

分 类 号：U664.88[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]