老年人驾驶特性和未来中国老年人交通安全问题分析  

Driving Characteristics of Elderly People and Their Traffic Safety Problems for the Future of China

作　　者：石京[1] 菅美英[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学交通研究所,北京100084

出　　处：《交通信息与安全》2014年第5期20-24,35,共6页Journal of Transport Information and Safety

基　　金："首都世界城市顺畅交通协同创新中心"的资金支持

摘　　要：人口老龄化,特别是老龄化带来的诸多问题已经成为全球备受关注的热点问题。随着经济和机动化的快速发展,我国老龄驾驶人的数量也在持续稳定地增长。采用文献调研、问卷调查和数据分析的方法,研究老年人的驾驶特性,分析我国未来可能面对的老年交通安全问题,并给出应对策略。研究结果表明:到2045年,65岁以上的老龄驾驶人约占14%;我国目前大部分的中青年表示在65岁以后将继续保有小汽车并且驾驶小汽车出行,且越年轻的人群、收入越高的人群,以及拥有驾照的人群,到老年后越偏好于保有小汽车和驾驶小汽车出行;老龄驾驶人的增多增加了道路交通安全隐患;最后从交通方式的提供、交通设施的设置和智能交通角度提出了应对老龄驾驶人交通安全问题的管理对策。Aging population has become a hot issue of global concern, and the number of Chinese elderly drivers is increasing continuously and steadily. Literature research, questionnaire survey and statistical analysis are adopted to study the driving characteristics of the elderly, to analyze their traffic safety problems that China will face in the future, and to give the countermeasures. Results indicate that 14~ of Chinese drivers will be 65 and over by 2045, and most of the young and middle-aged have intention to keep and use cars after they are 65-year old~ people who are younger with higher income and driving license, prefer to keep and use cars after 65-year old, and the increase of elderly drivers results in the increase of traffic safety hazard. The traffic safety management countermeasures including providing mode of transporta- tion, traffic facilities and intelligent transportation are put forward.

关 键 词：老龄驾驶人 安全驾驶 驾驶特性 交通安全对策 

分 类 号：U491.25[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]