基于GM(1,1)模型的我国社会物流总额预测研究  

Forecasting of Total Social Logistics Volume of China Based on GM(1,1)

作　　者：冯莉 

机构地区：[1]文华学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《物流技术》2014年第12期301-302,共2页Logistics Technology

摘　　要：采用GM(1,1)模型预测我国社会物流总额,并对模型结果进行精度检验,得出2014年我国社会物流总额同比增长18.8%的结论。In this paper, using the GM（1,1）, we forecast the total social logistics volume of China, then tested the accuracy of the model result, and concluded that the total social logistics volume of China would grow for 18.8%for 2014 as compared with last year.

关 键 词：GM(1 1)模型 社会物流总额 预测 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济] F224