2014年前3季度国内外禽蛋市场分析与展望  

Poultry Eggs Markets in the First Three Quarters of 2014 and Their Outlooks

作　　者：张超[1] 李干琼[1] 于海鹏[1] 王玉庭[1] 李哲敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室,北京100081

出　　处：《农业展望》2014年第10期7-11,共5页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：农业部项目"农业监测预警与信息化"

摘　　要：2014年前3季度,中国鸡蛋价格波动走高,9月创下历史新高;鸡蛋供给不足是价格走高的根本原因,饲料、人工等蛋鸡饲养成本的持续上涨也起到一定的助推作用;1—8月禽蛋进口下降、出口增长,贸易顺差明显。随着在产蛋鸡存栏量的逐渐回升,鸡蛋供给偏紧的态势将有所缓和,预计第4季度蛋价将出现季节性回落。In the first three quarters of 2014, China＇s egg price fluctuated and went up, then got a record high in September. The core reason of increasing price was the insufficient supply of egg, and the rising feeding costs of fodder and labor also played a promoted role. The imports of China＆#39;s poultry eggs declined and the exports grew, which contributed to obvious trade surplus in Jan-Aug. With gradually recovering stock of laying hens, the tight situation of egg supply will be easing up, and eggs prices will go down seasonally in the fourth quarter.

关 键 词：禽蛋 蛋料比 市场 贸易 期货 价格 供需 影响因素 展望 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]