川中丘陵地区农业经济增长影响因素分析  

Analysis on Affecting Factors of Agricultural Economic Growth in the Middle Hilly Area of Sichuan Province

作　　者：许辉熙[1] 薛万蓉[1] 彭文甫[2] 

机构地区：[1]四川建筑职业技术学院测量工程研究所,四川德阳618000 [2]四川师范大学西南土地资源评价与监测教育部重点实验室,四川成都610068

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2015年第5期537-539,共3页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:41371125);四川省教育厅自然科学重点项目(编号:12ZA255)

摘　　要：选取川中丘陵地区6市41个县(市、区)的农林牧渔业总产值、乡村从业人员、年末实有耕地面积、农业机械总动力、化肥施用量和农村用电量6个统计指标,利用柯布—道格拉斯生产函数模型,运用计量分析软件Eviews 6.0对模型进行计算,分析影响该农业经济增长的主要因素。结果表明,该地区农业经济增长的影响因素主要来自土地投入、固定资本投入和流动资本投入。针对研究结果,提出了促进川中丘陵地区农业经济增长的对策。In this paper, statistical indicators were selected form forty- one counties in six cities in the middle hilly area of Sichuan Province, which were the total output value of agricuhure, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, rural workers, the actual land area in the end of the year, the total power of agricultural machinery, the amount of chemical fertilizer, and rural power consumption respectively. And then the Cobb - Douglas pro- duction function was calculated using the econometric analysis software of Eviews 6.0 to analyze the affecting factors of the agricultural economic growth. The results showed that the affecting factors of the agricultural economic growth came from the land investment, fixed capital investment and working capital investment. According to the results, some countermeasures for promoting the economic growth of agriculture in the hilly regions were put forward.

关 键 词：农业经济增长 柯布—道格拉斯生产函数 异方差 多重共线 

分 类 号：F224.12[经济管理—国民经济]