干旱区城镇化与水资源承载力协调性分析——以国家级经济开发区喀什为例  

Urbanization and Water Resources Carrying Capacity Analysis of Coordination in Arid Areas——A Case Study in National Economic Development of Kashi

作　　者：陈红梅[1] 李青[1] 田宝龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]塔里木大学经济与管理学院,新疆阿拉尔843300

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2015年第5期573-577,共5页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(编号:08XJ004);新疆兵团社会科学基金项目(编号:10BTYB19)阶段性成果;塔里木大学校长基金(编号:TDSKSS1403);新疆兵团哲学社会科学基金项目(编号:14QN16)

摘　　要：基于资源要素流动理论,从复合系统论角度出发,采用模糊层次分析法,建立城镇化质量与水资源承载力协调度评价模型,计算城镇化与水资源承载力协调发展度。研究发现:1经济城镇化与生活城镇化步调不一致,提高人们的收入是关键;2城镇化质量逐渐提高,水资源承载力从轻度超载向濒临超载状况转好,城镇化与水资源承载力的复合系统协调性从明显不协调向轻微协调转变;3城镇化质量的提高与水资源之间存在双向作用关系。Based on the resource elements flow theory, from the perspective of complex systems theory, Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process （FAHP）, established urbanization quality and water resource coordination degree evaluation model to calculate the coordination of urbanization and water resource development degree. The results found that：（1）Urbanization and economic life was inconsistent pace of urbanization, improving the people＇s income was the key. （2）The quality of the gradual urbanization improved, water resource overloaded from mild to the brink of overload conditions to turn for the better, urbanization and water resource coordination of complex systems from the apparent incongruity coordination to minor changed. （3） The existence of a two - way role existed the relationship between improving urbanization quality and water resources.

关 键 词：城镇化质量 水资源承载力 模糊层次分析法 协调发展度 

分 类 号：X24[环境科学与工程—环境科学] P962[天文地球—自然地理学]