新兴和成熟产业中企业对学研方行为的演化博弈仿真分析  

Evolutionary Game and Simulation Analysis of Enterprise's Behavior to University and Research Institution in Emergent and Mature Industries

作　　者：殷辉[1] 陈劲[2] 

机构地区：[1]合肥学院管理系,安徽合肥230601 [2]清华大学经管学院,北京100084

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2015年第7期97-102,108,共7页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"外部创新要素异质性对开放式创新绩效的影响机理研究"(71272171);合肥学院学科带头人培养对象项目(2014dtr04);合肥学院重点学科项目(2014xk02)

摘　　要：产学研合作对构建国家创新体系和实现向创新驱动型经济体转变具有重要的作用,而大力发展新兴产业是我国产业结构升级的必由之路。针对基于产业背景的产学研合作研究的不足,运用演化博弈理论比较分析两类产业中企业间随机两两配对与学研方开展合作R&D的博弈过程,并采用Netlogo仿真软件对理论命题赋予相应的参数数值逐一进行验证。研究结果表明,无论何种产业,产学研合作的形成是一个逐渐演化的过程,并与合作成本呈负相关而与市场风险因子、合作收益呈正相关关系,在两类产业技术水平一定、合作创新收益相当的情况下,成熟产业中的企业更容易与学研机构开展合作。最后提出了改进新兴产业产学研合作现状的进一步思考。Industry -University -Research Cooperation （IURC）plays an important role in building a national innovation system and turning to an innovation -driven economy.Vigorously developing emergent industries is the only way to upgrade industrial structure of our country.Given lack of studies on IURC in the context of industries,based on the evolutionary game theory,this paper relatively analyzes the game process of collaborative R＆amp;D activities with University ＆amp;Research In-stitution between randomly paired enterprises in the two types of industries.After the parameter value is assigned,we verify all theoretical proposition one by one using Netlogo simulation software.The findings show：regardless of what kind of in-dustries,IURC is a gradually evolutionary process;it has a negative correlation with the collaborative costs,and positive correlation with the market risk factor and collaborative gains;when there is a certain level of technology in different indus-tries and equal cooperative gains,in the short term,the mature companies are more inclined to cooperate with university or research institution.Finally,a further reflection about how to improve the status of IURC in emergent industries is put for-ward.

关 键 词：新兴产业 成熟产业 产学研合作 演化稳定性 

分 类 号：F276.42[经济管理—企业管理] F224.32[经济管理—国民经济]