气象条件对武器效能动态评估与微分对策的影响分析  

Influence Analysis of Dynamic Evaluation and Differential Games of Weapon Efficiency Influenced by Meteorological Conditions

作　　者：王学亚 张国春[1] 王燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防大学信息作战与指挥训练教研部,北京100091

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2015年第4期10-13,共4页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(61174156;61203140;6137179;61174035)

摘　　要：针对气象条件对作战双方武器效能的动态影响问题,基于微分对策思想,构建了包含气象影响因子的作战双方武器对抗的兰彻斯特模型,讨论了不同气象条件对双方武器效能的动态影响。结果表明:气象条件对双方武器效能都有损耗,但由于损耗程度不同,整个战局的态势将向损耗程度较小的一方倾斜;武器效能的固有差距是主要的,但一定的战场大气环境条件可以缩小此差距。Aiming at the dynamic influence of meteorological conditions on two sides’weapon efficiency,based on differential games theory,a Lanchester model of two sides’weapon confrontation including the meteorological-coefficient is built up. Taking the confrontation between J-10 and F-16 battleplanes as an example,three meteorological elements including cumulonimbus height,wind and cloud cover as influence and limiting factors of weapon efficiency,the dynamic influence of different meteorological conditions on two sides’weapon efficiency is discussed. In case that the meteorological-coefficient is constant,the ＇weather-inclining square rate’is obtained;in case of inconstant coefficient, the tactics efficiency as well as the total efficiency of the battleplanes is simulated in differential games. The results are shown that： meteorological conditions influence each side,but the one influenced less is inclined to win; to a certain degree some atmospheric conditions can shorten the intrinsic gap between weapons which is dominating still.

关 键 词：气象条件 武器效能 动态评估 微分对策 

分 类 号：U674.703.7[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]