农村居民家庭经营纯收入现状及影响因素分析  

Analysis of Present Situation and Influencing Factors of Rural Residents' Net Income in Family Management

作　　者：季鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学经济学院,福建福州350108

出　　处：《青岛农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第2期19-24,共6页Journal of Qingdao Agricultural University(Social Science)

摘　　要：以1985-2012年农村居民家庭经营纯收入为被解释变量,选取5个相关解释变量建立时间序列模型,采用逐步回归和多元线性回归方法进行分析。结果显示,农村家庭个人固定资产投资、家庭经营费用和农用机械总动力对其有显著影响,其中农村家庭个人固定资产投资和家庭经营费用呈正向影响,农用机械总动力由于投入后回报时滞呈负向影响。针对这一结果,总结了农民增收存在的问题并提出相关建议。This paper takes the rural residents＇net income in family management from 1985 to 2012 as explanatory variables and selects 5 relevant explanatory variables to establish time series model using stepwise regression and multiple linear regression .The analysis shows that rural residents ＇private investment in fixed assets , family management costs and total power of farm machinery have a significant influence on their net income .And rural residents＇private investment in fixed assets and family management costs have positive influence ,while total power of farm machinery has a negative influence on their net income due to its return delay .Accordingly ,the problems of increasing farmers＇income are summarized and relevant suggestions are put forward .

关 键 词：农民增收 家庭经营纯收入 时间序列模型 多元线性回归 

分 类 号：F3[经济管理—产业经济]