中国食用菌贸易的时空格局、出口竞争力及其影响因素分析  

Analysis of Temporal Pattern, Export Competitiveness and Influence Factors of Chinese Edible Fungi

作　　者：邓燕[1] 薛龙飞[1] 曹明宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学,武汉430070

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2015年第14期3570-3575,3579,共7页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家现代农业(食用菌)产业技术体系专项项目(CARS-024)

摘　　要：运用标准显示性比较优势指数(NRCA index)测算了中国食用菌的相对竞争力,并通过回归分析和单位根检验探讨了其稳定性,最后分析了食用菌类别、出口国人均国民收入、两国实际汇率和距离对中国食用菌出口竞争力的影响。结果表明,中国食用菌出口量和出口额在波动中上升,干品类出口额超过罐头类;中国食用菌相对竞争力总体在上升,但在日本、美国、德国和意大利等传统市场有下降趋势;中国食用菌整体比较优势稳定周期约为4年,其中盐水腌制类和罐头类比较优势变动具有平稳性特征;出口国人均国民收入和两国间距离对中国食用菌比较优势的提升具有负向作用,两国实际汇率影响不显著。Employing NRCA index the relative competitiveness of Chinese edible fungi was estimated, and by means of regression analysis and unit root test its stability was discussed. Last the effect of edible fungi categories, national income per head of exporter, the real exchange rate and distance on the export competitiveness of Chinese edible fung i was analyzed. It conclduded that the exports of Chinese edible fungi rose in fluctuations, and dried exports exceeded canned exports. In overall the relative competitiveness of fungi was rising in China, but have a downward trend in Japanese, the US, Germanic and Italian traditional markets. The stable cycle of overall comparative advantage of Chinese edible fungi was about 4 years, provisionally preserved and canned fungi have the characteristic of stability. To the promotion of comparative advantage of Chinese edible fungi, national income per head of exporter and distance have negative effect, but the real exchange rate have not obvious effect.

关 键 词：食用菌 国际竞争力 显示性比较优势指数 

分 类 号：F326.13[经济管理—产业经济] F752.62