大型社会活动拥挤踩踏事故机理分析及应对策略研究  

Mechanism Analysis of Stampede Accident in Large-scale Social Activities and Its Coping Strategies

作　　者：周晓冰[1,2] 张永领[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]河南理工大学安全与应急管理研究中心,河南焦作454000 [2]河南理工大学应急管理学院,河南焦作454000

出　　处：《灾害学》2015年第4期156-162,172,共8页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：河南省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目"大型节庆旅游活动安全风险评估及防控策略--以河南省为例"(2015-QN-017)

摘　　要：近年来,大型社会活动拥挤踩踏事故频发,对其展开内在机理的分析有利于提升此类突发事件的应急管理水平。该文在划分大型社会活动拥挤踩踏事故类型和分析事故灾害源、承灾体与孕灾环境之间关系的基础上,结合拥挤踩踏事故生命周期理论,深入剖析了拥挤踩踏事故的发生、发展和演化的内在机理。据此,从防范拥挤踩踏事故发生、减缓和阻断拥挤踩踏事故发展、遏制拥挤踩踏事故进一步演化三个方面提出了不同的应对策略。Stampede accidents in large-scale social activities occur frequently; the analysis of its mechanism is helpful to improve the emergency management level of such emergency events. Based on dividing the types of stampede accidents in large-scale social activities and analyzing the relationships among hazard source,hazard bearing body and hazard environment,by using life cycle theory,we analyze the intrinsic mechanism during occurrence,development and evolution phases of stampede accidents. Accordingly proposed different coping strategies from three aspects： preventing occurrence,mitigating and interdicting development,restraining evolution of stampede accidents.

关 键 词：大型社会活动 拥挤踩踏 机理 应急管理 

分 类 号：X45[环境科学与工程—灾害防治]