基于混合威布尔分布的加工中心可靠性评估  

Reliability evaluation of machining center based on mixed Weibull distribution

作　　者：张根保[1] 杨兴勇[1] 李磊[1] 李冬英[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学机械工程学院,重庆400030

出　　处：《计算机应用研究》2015年第11期3278-3282,共5页Application Research of Computers

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51175527);国家科技重大专项资助项目(2013ZX04011-013;2013ZX04012-051)

摘　　要：针对复杂机械系统可靠性评估未考虑可靠性实验故障数据具有多故障模式的不足,建立两重混合威布尔分布模型。为解决可靠性实验小子样故障数据问题,利用模糊聚类的方法实现对故障数据的分类,求得混合威布尔分布的形状参数,以此为基础将混合威布尔分布转换为具有共轭先验分布的混合指数分布。用贝叶斯估计求解混合指数分布各参数值,然后将求得的混合指数分布各参数值转换为混合威布尔分布的各参数值。最后以某型号卧式加工中心为例,求得加工中心的可靠性评估结果。To solve the reliability assessment＇ s problem of complex mechanical system that not considering for the characteris- tics of multiple failure modes, this paper built a mixed double Weibull distribution model. To solve the small sample failure data＇ s problem, it used fuzzy clustering method to achieve fault data classification and obtained the sub-population＇ s shape parameter of the mixed Weibull distribution. Then the mixed Weibull distribution converted into mixed exponential distribution which had conjugate prior distribution. By using the Bayes estimation, it obtained the mixed exponential distribution＇ s parameters, then the mixed Weibull distribution＇ s parameters converted into the mixed exponential distribution＇ s parameters. At last, it took an example of a certain type machining center, and obtained the result of reliability evaluation.

关 键 词：混合威布尔分布 模糊聚类 混合指数分布 贝叶斯估计 可靠性评估 

分 类 号：TP391[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]