长三角地区能源消费、要素投入与经济增长关系研究——基于变系数和面板因果检验模型  

A Study on the Relationship Between Energy Consumption,Factor input and Economic Growth in Yangtze River Delta,Based on Variable coefficient and panel causality test model

作　　者：朱天星[1] 贺莉[2] 罗丹程[1] 陈显[1] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳工业大学经济学院,辽宁沈阳110870 [2]长春工业大学基础科学学院,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2015年第21期60-66,共7页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：辽宁省社科规划基金项目(L14BJL025);沈阳工业大学博士启动基金项目系列成果之一

摘　　要：深入研究能源消费及投入要素对经济增长的贡献,对于协调区域要素投入和区域经济的可持续发展具有重要意义.在生产函数框架下,利用1980-2013年长三角地区各省市经济增长与能源消费、要素投入数据,通过控制面板组内自相关、截面相关及组间异方差的变系数模型和面板因果检验模型,研究经济增长与能源消费、投入要素间长期均衡和因果关系.结果表明长三角地区经济增长与能源消费、投入要素间存在长期均衡关系,浙江省的劳动和资本的产出弹性最高,分别为0.515和0.95,江苏省的劳动产出弹性和浙江省的能源消费产出弹性为负,分别为-0.124和-0.338,表现为边际报酬递减特征.长三角地区能源消费和经济增长之间满足反馈假说,并提出提高能源使用效率、调整劳动和能源的投入结构及加大经济转型力度等对策建议.It is of great significance to coordinate regional inputs and the sustainable devel- opment of regional economy by deeply studying the contribution of energy consumption and investment factor on economic growth. In production function framework, This paper study the long-term equilibrium and causality relationships between energy consumption, the factor input and economic growth in Yangtze river delta by using energy consumption, factor input and economic growth datum from 1980 to 2013 and controlling autocorrelation, cross section correlations and heteroscedasticity in panel data models. Results show that there exists the long-term equilibrium between energy consumption, factor input and economic growth, labor and capital of Zhejiang province has the highest output elasticity, 0.515 and 0.95, respectively, labor output elasticity of Jiangsu province and energy consumption of the output elasticity in Zhejiang province are negative, -0.124 and -0.338 respectively, which show the characteristics of diminishing marginal returns.energy consumption and economic growth in Yangtze river delta meet feedback hypothesis,Then we put some suggests, such as improving the efficiency of energy use, adjusting the input structure of labor and energy and increase the intensity of economic transformation, etc.

关 键 词：能源消费 要素投入 经济增长 长面板 面板因果检验模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F206