大城市中心区停车寻位研究  

Research of Searching for Parking Lot at Big City Center

作　　者：刘婧[1] 关宏志[1] 贺玉龙[1] 赵昕[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学交通工程北京市重点实验室,北京100124 [2]交通运输部科学研究院,北京100029

出　　处：《公路交通科技》2016年第1期135-139,共5页Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划(九七三计划)项目(2012CB725403);国家自然科学基金项目(51338008)

摘　　要：为了研究驾驶员停车寻位行为的一般规律,选取了北京市西城区18个公共停车场,对其使用者进行了抽样调查。利用调查数据,对影响停车寻位时间的各因素进行了分析,发现停车时长、停车场类型、有无引导和停车场拥挤情况对寻位选择行为影响显著。确定了影响停车寻位时间的特性变量,建立了停车寻位时间多项Logit模型,并对模型进行了标定与有效性验证。结果表明:所建模型可行且具有较高的预测精度和实用性;停车位紧张时使用者倾向迅速寻找到车位停车;停车位充裕时使用者愿意花费更多的时间寻找满意的车位,并且停车寻位的时间与停车时长成正比。In order to study the general rule of drivers＇ parking lot searching behaviors, the sample investigation is conducted on the users of the selected 18 parking lots in Xicheng district of Beijing. the influencing factors of parking lot searching behaviors are analysed by using the investigation data. It is found that parking time,parking lot type,parking guide and the situation of parking congestion are the significantly influence the parking lot searching behaviors. The characteristic variables affecting the parking lot searching time are determined,a multinomial Logit model of the searching time is established,the model is calibrated and its effectiveness is verified. The result shows that（ 1） the established model is feasible and has high prediction accuracy and practicability;（ 2） the users tend to quickly find out a parking lot when there are few parking lot left;（ 3） the users tend to spend more time to find out a satisfied parking lot when there are plenty of parking lots left,and parking lot searching time is proportional to the parking time.

关 键 词：交通工程 停车寻位 LOGIT模型 停车调查 停车特征 

分 类 号：U491.7[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]