人力资本、教育层次与区域经济增长——基于中国1997-2012年省级面板数据的实证研究  

Human Capital,Education Level and Regional Economic Growth—An Empirical Research Based On China Provincial Panel Data 1997-2012

作　　者：于寄语[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院,430074

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2015年第12期97-104,114,共9页Shanghai Journal of Economics

摘　　要：该文基于1997-2012年中国各省份的就业劳动力数据,从短期和中长期的角度探讨了不同教育层次人力资本同中国区域经济发展的关系。研究结果表明,短期内:中等教育层次人力资本对总产出的正向影响相对较强,即该层次劳动力同短期经济发展具有较好的适应性;而其余层次人力资本对总产出的正向作用不明显,并且在东部地区,近年来高学历人才的膨胀使得高层次人力资本的影响产生了较大扭曲,即在短期内局部区域高层次人才供需是不匹配的。进一步的中长期分析表明高层次人力资本的形成是长期经济增长的重要推动源,其余层次人力资本的作用则相对较弱。因此,我国在提升人力资本教育层次的同时,应关注其质量因素以及短期区域人才供需的适应性。Based on provincial labor data 1997-2012,the paper focuses on the correlation between regional economic development and human capital of different education levels.The results show that in the short run,middle-education-level human capital exert relatively stronger positive effects on the growth of economy,labor force on this level show good adaptability with short-term economic development.Other education levels＇ influences are insignificant as a whole,especially in east regions,human capital with college？degree？and？above even present negative effect due to rapid？expansion of highly-educated？people, which reflects the mismatching of supply and demand in labor markets.However,further study in the mid-long term show some difference：human capital of high-education-level is the most important driving force to economic increase compared with other education levels.While improving education level of human capital in different regions,we need to pay close attention to education quality as well as short-term inadaptability of regional labor＇s supply and demand.

关 键 词：人力资本 教育层次 区域经济增长 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]