我国居民健康与经济发展的协整关系研究  

Co-integration relation between residents' health and economic development in China

作　　者：韩春蕾[1,2] 叶智[1] 韩坤[3] 贾改珍[1] 刘大华[1] 

机构地区：[1]滨州医学院公共卫生与管理学院,山东烟台264003 [2]山东大学经济学院,山东济南250100 [3]中南大学数学与统计学院,湖南长沙410012

出　　处：《中国卫生政策研究》2015年第12期67-71,共5页Chinese Journal of Health Policy

基　　金：全国统计科研计划项目(2014007);山东省社会科学规划研究项目(13DJJJ24)

摘　　要：目的:探讨我国居民健康和经济发展的关系,以促进两者协调发展。方法:对居民健康和经济发展进行熵值法评分,采用协整理论及格兰杰因果关系检验法分析探讨两者之间的关系。结果:居民健康和经济发展具有协整关系,居民健康和经济发展在短期的修正力度为-0.6216,经济发展水平是居民健康状况的Granger原因。结论:我国居民健康和经济增长之间存在着长期均衡短期波动的关系,经济增长可促进居民健康,但居民健康对经济增长的拉动作用不明显。Objective： This paper aims to explore the relationship between the residents＇ health and economic development to provide a scientific basis which will promote the coordinated economy and health development. Methods：Adopting the entropy method,we could calculate the comprehensive health evaluation index. In combining the co-integration and error correction models,we could analyze the long-term and short-term relationships between our country residents＇ level of health since 2000 and the national macro-economic development information. The Granger causality test served as a good method used in testing the casual relationships. Results： The health and economic development has a co-integration relationship which is- 0. 6216 in the short-term correction. The economic development extent is the Granger cause of residents＇ health status. Conclusion： There is not only a long-term equilibrium,but also a shortterm relationship between the residents＇ health and economic development in our country. The economic growth promotes residents＇ health status while the promotion of residents＇ health to economic growth is not obvious.

关 键 词：居民健康 经济增长 熵值法 协整分析 格兰杰因果检验 

分 类 号：R197[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]