环境规制、能源消费结构与雾霾——基于省际面板数据的实证检验  

Environmental Regulation,Energy Consumption Structure and Hazy in China-Empirical Test Based on Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：刘晓红[1,2] 江可申[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏南京211106 [2]南京晓庄学院商学院,江苏南京211171

出　　处：《国土资源科技管理》2016年第1期59-65,共7页Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(15BGL144);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71203097);教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目(10YJC790005);江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划项目(KYZZ15_0106)

摘　　要：采用我国30省(市、区)2003—2012年面板数据,分析环境规制强度、能源消费结构与雾霾之间的关系。首先,以PM10浓度指标进行聚类,把30省(市、区)划分为高、中、轻三大污染地区。其次,面板单位根检验结果显示各变量是一阶单整I(1);Pedroni和Kao协整检验表明变量之间存在协整关系;FMOLS回归发现,全国总体环境规制强度与PM10浓度呈反方向变动,能源消费结构与PM10浓度呈同方向变动;高污染地区能源消费结构对PM10浓度产生正的影响,中、轻污染地区环境规制强度对PM10浓度产生负的影响。最后,提出了使用法律、经济手段加强环境规制,降低煤炭消耗比例、发展清洁能源等建议。This paper examines the relationships between environmental regulations, energy consumption structure and hazy in China by means of the panel data of the 30 provinces （cities, districts） during 2003-2012 period Firstly,the 30 provinces （cities,districts） are divided into high, medium and light pollution areas by clustering in PMIO concentration index. Secondly, with the panel unit root tests, we found that all panel variables are I（1） process. Both the Pedroni and Kao co-integration tests show that there are co-integration relationships between variables. Using FMOLS estimating method, we found that environmental regulation intensity and PMIO concentration changes in the opposite direction in China. On the contrary, energy consumption structure and PM10 concentration changes in the same direction in China. The energy consumption structure has positive effect on thePMIO concentration in high pollution area. The environmental regulation intensity has negative effect on the PMIO concentration in the medium and light pollution areas. Finally, we put forward suggestions such as strengthening environmental regulation using legal and economic means, reducing the proportion of coal consumption,developing clean energy and so on.

关 键 词：PM10 环境规制 能源消费结构 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]