改进灰色法的废旧设备剩余寿命预测研究  

The improved gray method to predict the residual life of waste equipment research

作　　者：伍建军[1] 游雄雄 吴事浪 万良琪 

机构地区：[1]江西理工大学机电工程学院,赣州341000

出　　处：《现代制造工程》2016年第3期134-137,共4页Modern Manufacturing Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(51365015);江西省自然科学基金项目(2010GZC0063);省科技厅科技项目(20122BDH80024;2014BBE50058);江西省研究生创新基金项目(YC2013-S194)

摘　　要：对日益增长的废旧矿冶设备废弃物进行剩余寿命预测,是对其再制造循环利用的前提和基础。由于废旧矿冶设备存在灰尘多、腐蚀大及磨损快的特殊工况,传统灰色寿命预测方法对寿命长期预测往往存在不准确的难题。引入灰色理论分析的方法,将灰色模型与线性回归模型相结合,建立改进的新陈代谢加权灰色线性回归组合模型,对废旧矿冶设备再制造剩余寿命进行预测。以某型矿冶发动机为例,验证了上述方法的有效性。The residual life prediction for the growing waste mining parts is the premise of the remanufacturing recycling, in the special conditions of dusty, corrosion, fast wear, the traditional gray life prediction methods are often inaccurate. By means of the theory of grey,while the metabolism weighted of gray-linear regression combined model is established by combining grey model and linear regression model, predicted the residual life of the waste mining equipment remanufacturing. Finally through the exam- ple analysis of the mining engine, it verifies the effectiveness of the method.

关 键 词：废旧矿冶设备 灰色理论 再制造 剩余寿命预测 

分 类 号：TH122[机械工程—机械设计及理论]