港口铁路专用线货运量预测研究  

Study on Forecast of Freight Transport Volume of Port Railway Industrial Siding

作　　者：马擎[1] 陈彦瑾 

机构地区：[1]中国中铁二院工程集团有限责任公司交通与城市规划设计研究院,四川成都610031 [2]中国市政工程西南设计研究总院有限公司城市规划设计研究院,四川成都610031

出　　处：《铁道货运》2016年第3期38-42,共5页Railway Freight Transport

基　　金：中铁二院工程集团有限责任公司科研项目(科2014-54)

摘　　要：在分析港口铁路专用线货运量构成的基础上,分别从港口铁路集疏运量和临港工业区铁路运量2个方面研究港口铁路专用线货运量预测方法。以锦州龙栖湾港口铁路专用线为例,结合该港口铁路专用线的功能定位,通过分别预测龙栖湾港口铁路集疏运量和临港工业区铁路运量,汇总得到该港口铁路专用线货运量预测值,从而为港口铁路专用线货运量预测提供方法。Based on analyzing the composition of freight transport volume of port railway industrial siding, this paper studies the forecast methods of freight transport volume of the industrial siding from 2 aspects respectively, which are the collecting and distributing transport volume of port railway and the railway transport volume in port-surrounding industrial area. Taking the railway industrial siding in Longxiwan Port of Jinzhou as an example, combining with functional positioning of port railway industrial siding, through forecasting the railway collecting and distributing transport volume in Longxiwan Port and the railway transport volume in port-surrounding industrial area respectively, the forecast volume were collected and achieved, so as to provide methods for freight transport volume of port railway industrial siding.

关 键 词：货运量 预测 港口 铁路专用线 

分 类 号：U291.15[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]