海南省建筑业碳排放核算分析及预测研究  

STUDY ON ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS ACCOUNTNG OF CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN HAINAN PROVINCE

作　　者：尚春静[1] 蔡晋[1] 刘艳荣[1] 廖伟志 

机构地区：[1]海南大学土木建筑工程学院,海口570228 [2]海南第一建设工程有限公司,海口570206

出　　处：《环境工程》2016年第4期161-165,共5页Environmental Engineering

基　　金：中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目(CDM201300808)

摘　　要：海南国际旅游岛建设促进了建筑业的发展,为了解海南建筑业碳排放情况,采用投入产出分析法对1993—2013年的海南建筑业碳排放进行了核算和分析,并在此基础上对2015—2020年的海南建筑业碳排放进行了预测。结果表明:在保持现有建筑技术条件下,海南建筑业碳排放距2020年国家40%的减排指标还有很大差距,最后结合海南实际情况对建筑业降低碳排放提出建议。The construction of Hainan international tourism island promoted the construction industry developing. In order to understand the carbon dioxide emissions from Hainan construction industry,the paper calculated and analyzed carbon dioxide emissions of construction industry in Hainan Province by using input-output analysis approach in 1993—2013,and predicted the direct carbon dioxide emissions of construction industry in Hainan from 2015 to 2020. The results showed that keeping the existing building technology conditions,carbon dioxide emissions from Hainan construction industry was far from the target of40% in 2020. Finally,according to the actual situation in Hainan,suggestion was put forward to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from Hainan construction industry.

关 键 词：建筑业 碳排放 核算 投入产出分析 预测 

分 类 号：F426.92[经济管理—产业经济] X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]