基于“资源诅咒”效应的西北农业虚拟水资源丰度研究  

A Study on the Vritual Abundance of Water Resources for Agriculture Production in Northwest China—Based on“Resource Curse”Effect

作　　者：赵玉田[1,2] 贾登勋[1] 

机构地区：[1]兰州大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730000 [2]兰州财经大学长青学院,甘肃兰州730020

出　　处：《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》2016年第3期53-58,共6页Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）

摘　　要：基于省际面板数据研究西北四省、自治区(陕西、甘肃、青海、宁夏)1986-2012年的虚拟水资源丰度。研究发现,西北四省农业生产的水资源禀赋水平很高,相比较西北四省的经济发展水平,验证了西北四省农业虚拟水"资源诅咒"效应的存在,进而得出农业虚拟水资源丰度在我国现阶段确实存在"资源诅咒"效应,同时农业虚拟水"资源诅咒"效应也为国家及地区制定更好的政策,促进西北地区农业虚拟水贸易的发展、保障西北粮食安全、促进西北地区经济增长等提供了有益的思考。Based on provincial panel data, this paper studies the virtual abundance of water resources in four northwest provinces and autonomous regions： Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia in 1986-2012. The finding shows that the water resources available for agricultural production are plentiful. Compared with the actual level of economic development of these four provinces, this paper concludes that effect of＂resource curse＂on the virtual abundance of water resources for agricultural production in the four northwest provinces does exist. By analogy, this paper points out that the virtual abundance of water resources for agricultural purposes create＂resource curse＂effect in the current stage in China; at the same time it also proposes that the countries and regions to establish better policies to promote the development of virtual water trade, to ensure food security, and to promote economic growth in northwest regions.

关 键 词：农业虚拟水 资源诅咒 资源丰度 甘肃 陕西 宁夏 青海 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]