中原经济区低碳经济发展的影响因素及驱动机制研究  

Research on Influencing Factors and Driving Mechanism of Low-carbon Economy in Central Economic Zone

作　　者：王喜[1,2] 周伯燕 王茹楠[1,2] 秦耀辰[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学环境与规划学院,河南开封475004 [2]中原经济区"三化"协调发展河南省协同创新中心,郑州450046

出　　处：《河南大学学报（自然科学版）》2016年第4期400-406,共7页Journal of Henan University:Natural Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41171438);国家重大科学研究计划资助项目(2012CB955800);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(10JJDZONGHE015)

摘　　要：基于LMDI模型,对中原经济区2003—2012年碳排放的影响因素进行分解.研究表明,经济发展是中原经济区碳排放增长的主要因素,能源消耗强度的降低对碳排放具有显著的抑制作用,处于快速工业化的中原经济区产业结构调整在一定程度上促进了碳排放的增长,同时,人口增长对碳排放增长也有一定的促进作用,而能源结构的改善(碳排放系数降低)对碳排放有一定的抑制作用,而且这些影响因素的作用强度及方向处于动态变化之中;资源环境、城镇化、区域发展战略等对碳排放变化也有较大影响.以上因素相互作用、相互影响,形成了低碳经济发展的驱动机制.Low-carbon economy is an inevitable choice of the Central Economic Zone. Based on the LMDI model, the paper analyzed the influencing factors of the carbon emissions in Central Economic Zone from 2003 to 2012. Studies show that economic growth is the main factor which promotes the carbon emissions of Central Economic Zone. Oppositely, the reducing of energy intensity inhibits the carbon emissions evidently. Industrial restructuring in the period of rapid industrialization promotes the growth of carbon emissions in some extent. At the same time, population growth and energy structure improvement also have some role in promoting and inhabiting carbon emissions. All of these factors＇ effecting intensity and direction are in a dynamic change. Meanwhile, the environment, urbanization and regional development strategies also have a great impact on carbon emissions. These factors influence each other, forming a driving mechanism of low-carbon economy.

关 键 词：低碳经济 LMDI模型 中原经济区 驱动机制 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学]