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机构地区:[1]国家粮食局科学研究院粮食安全战略研究室,北京100037
出 处:《农业现代化研究》2016年第4期657-662,共6页Research of Agricultural Modernization
基 金:粮食行业公益性项目(201413002;201513005;201513004)~~
摘 要:粮食安全是全面建成小康社会和经济结构转型的基石。本文首先分析了"十三五"期间保障粮食安全面临的资源环境约束,国际贸易环境的不确定性与进口激增对我国粮食宏观调控的冲击,以及居民消费结构转型引发的粮食需求变动。之后,审视和评估了未来五年期间粮食安全的发展趋势,如粮食对外依存度有所上升,居民消费对品种结构的要求日益增强,品质和营养越来越成为普遍化的价值追求。研究认为,"十三五"期间保障粮食安全应坚持宏观安全与微观安全相统一,兼顾长期安全和短期安全,在保证数量安全的同时突出质量安全和生态安全的价值取向。在此基础上,主张从生产环节保产能,流通环节强调控和消费环节促减损等方面建构链条式粮食安全保障体系。Grain security is the cornerstone of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects and economic structure transformation. Firstly, this paper analyzed the resource and environmental constraints, the uncertainty in international trade environment, the impacts of rapid growth of grain import on China’s grain macro regulations, and the grain demand changes caused by the structural changes of grain consumption in China. Then, this paper evaluated the trend of grain security in the next ifve years, including the increasing degree of grain dependence, the requirement of improving breed structure, the wide spreading trend of pursuing quality and nutrition value of agricultural products. Results show that, during the 13th ifve-year plan period, to increase grain security in China, macro and micro security should be consistent, long-term and short-term security should be considered together, and quantity, quality and environment security should be integrated. At the same time, this paper also suggests to improve the comprehensive production capacity of grain security, to enhance the technological contribution rate, to reform the grain circulation system, to establish the interest compensation mechanism in line with the major grain producing areas, to stabilize grain prices, and to reduce food waste.
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