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出 处:《哈尔滨商业大学学报(社会科学版)》2016年第4期3-12,共10页Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
基 金:国家自然科学基金"小样本非等距灰色预测模型建模及其应用研究"(71301061);中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金(2015JDZD11)
摘 要:将物流节点—线路作为切入点,以江苏省为例,基于耦合协调发展模型测算区域物流网络的耦合度和协调指数,分析物流网络系统的时空演变特征及规律,利用逐步回归模型探索耦合协调指数的驱动因素。研究结果表明:江苏省各城市物流系统处于"高度耦合"状态;协调度集中于"基本协调"和"濒临失调"阶段,空间上呈现"外围—中心"递减趋势;物流需求与基础设施建设对耦合协调的优化表现出促进作用,从业人员系统的冗余则体现一定的负效应。Based on the relationship between logistics node and channel, a coupling and coordination model was constructed and the coupling and - coordination degrees of Jiangsu province logistics network system were calculated. In addition, the characteristics and rules of the spatio - temporal evolution were analyzed, then stepwise regression model was used to explore the driving factors of coupling and coordination. The research indicated that : The coupling degree of logistics network system in cities of Jiangsu province has always been under the high level ; the coordination degree floa- ted between the phrase of underlying coordination and barely coordination, showing no obvious trend of changing across the phrases; the coordina- tion degreeg spatial distribution indicated coordination degree decreased when the cities changed from the outer ones to the inner, which showed compared to the inner cities in Jiangsu province, the outer ones" logistics networks have developed a better order; as to the driving factors, the needs for logistics and investments on the fundamental constructions have a positive effect on the optimization of logistics networkg coupling, while the re- dundant workforce has a negative effect. In order to realize the longitudinal coupling of the logistics network system, government policies should be made full use of, resources should be well distributed, both capital and technology should be kept as the driving factors for development, and quick response to the market demands should be established.
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