基于系统动力学模型的企业孵化过程研究  

Process of Business Incubation Based on System Dynamics

作　　者：裴梦丹 张宝建[2] 孙国强[2] 齐捧虎[3] 

机构地区：[1]山西财经大学工商管理学院,山西太原030006 [2]山西财经大学管理科学与工程学院,山西太原030006 [3]西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710069

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2016年第8期64-70,共7页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"基于创业成长周期的孵化网络动态匹配研究"(71303143);教育部人文社会科学基金"基于创业过程的孵化网络适配性研究"(13YJC630217);山西省哲学社会科学课题"山西企业孵化网络构建研究--生成路径与协同优化"(晋规办字[2012]3号);山西省青年拔尖人才

摘　　要：本文围绕创业周期将企业的孵化过程解构为萌芽期、成长期与成熟期三个阶段,并据此构建了三阶延迟的系统动力学老化链与协流模型。通过对模型的仿真与测试,结果表明单纯增加企业孵化资源的投入虽然有效促进了在孵企业数量的增加,但并未能带来企业孵化收益的大幅提升。进一步研究发现,将企业孵化资源区分为生存性、成长性与增值性三类资源,同等资源总量下投入比例的优化更能够带来企业孵化绩效的提升,进一步说明了既定资源的合理配置比单纯的资源扩张更有效。本文据此对企业孵化的过程性解决方案提供了对策建议。This paper focuses on entrepreneurial lifecycle and divides business incubation process into budding, growth and maturity stage, and then builds a system dynamics model of aging chain and co-flow based on three order delay. The results show that increasing resources investment in business incubators alone can effectively promote the number of incubated companies, but fail to bring signifi- cant benefits for business incubators. Further, this study finds that optimizing the investment ratio can enhance the performance of business incubators more effectively on equal resources, and the rational allocation of resources is more effective than simple expansion when business incubators＇ resources are divided into survival, growth and value-added three types. Finally, this paper provides countermeasures and suggestions for the problems of resource allocation in different processes of business incubation.

关 键 词：企业孵化 创业周期 企业孵化过程 系统动力学 

分 类 号：F270[经济管理—企业管理]