考虑城市内部出行影响的区域客运方式选择行为模型  

Passenger Choice Model in Regional Transportation Consider Influence of Urban Internal Travel

作　　者：陈坚[1] 赵翰林[1] 傅志妍[2] 穆礼彬[3] 

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学山地城市交通系统与安全重庆市重点实验室,重庆400074 [2]重庆第二师范学院经济与工商管理系,重庆400067 [3]四川省交通运输厅交通勘察设计研究院,成都610017

出　　处：《交通运输系统工程与信息》2016年第4期17-23,共7页Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51308569);重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究重点项目(14SKG03);重庆市社会科学规划培育项目(2015PY36)~~

摘　　要：为解决区域客运方式选择模型中缺少定量考虑市内出行影响的问题,从完整出行链的角度,将区域出行全过程划分为三阶段,区分了区域与市内出行的共性及差异性影响因素.提出包容值的概念,用于描述市内出行对区域出行方式选择影响的综合效用.基于NL模型构建涵盖市内出行作用的区域出行方式选择行为模型,对模型的特性变量进行具体定义,运用NLOGIT软件对模型进行参数标定.最后,将模型应用于成渝通道实例分析中,共回收有效问卷924份.计算结果表明:市内出行主要受出行时耗、费用及是否换乘3个变量影响,考虑了市内出行包容值的改进模型优度比较传统模型提高了0.145,显示模型解释度和精确性有一定提升.In order to solve the problem that it lacks of quantitative consideration of the urban internal travel influence in passenger choice model in regional transportation, the whole process of regional travel is divided into three stages from the whole trip chain point. Then it is distinguished that the common and different influencing factors between regional and urban internal travel. The concept of inclusive values is proposed which is used to describe the comprehensive effect of urban internal travel to the choice of regional travel mode. The regional travel choice model, considering the urban internal travel function, is constructed based on the NL model. The characteristic variables are defined, and the parameters are determined by using NLOGIT software. Finally, Chengdu- Chongqing transport channel as a case to apply the proposed model,and 524 valid questionnaires are collected. The results show that urban internal travel is mainly affected by travel time, costs and transfer, and the superior ratio of the propose model is increased by 0.145 than the traditional model. Meanwhile, the interpretation and accuracy is improved.

关 键 词：综合交通运输 包容值 NL模型 出行方式 全过程 

分 类 号：U491.1[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]