江苏省SO2排放环境库茨涅茨关系研究--基于半参数面板数据模型分析  

Investigating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for SO_2 emissions in Jiangsu Province: A semiparametric panel data analysis

作　　者：王远[1] 王春春[1] 赵静[1] 钱一潇 KUBOTA Jumpei 何彦旻 朱晓东[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学环境学院,污染控制与资源化研究国家重点实验室,中国南京210023 [2]Research Institute for Humanity and Nature,Kyoto 603-8047,Japan [3]Institute of Economic Research,Kyoto University,Kyoto 606-8501,Japan

出　　处：《中国环境科学》2016年第10期3143-3149,共7页China Environmental Science

摘　　要：以江苏省为研究区域,通过验证环境库兹涅茨曲线的存在来分析经济增长、城市化对SO_2排放的影响.采用1991-2013年江苏省市级面板数据,结合参数及半参数固定效应回归同时对经济增长/城市化与SO_2排放关系开展研究.研究发现了经济增长与SO_2排放之间存在着倒U型曲线关系,但是对于城市化与SO_2排放,二者的倒U型曲线关系并不存在.经济增长与SO_2排放之间环境库兹涅茨关系的存在表明了经济的持续发展能够协调并解决其与SO_2排放之间的困境.同时,这些研究发现有助于推动社会经济发展与环境污染关系的研究.The paper concentrated on a Jiangsu Province context and attempted to explicitly investigate the impacts of economic growth and urbanization on sulfur dioxide emissions through examination on the existence of an environmental Kuznets curve. Within the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology framework, this was first study to simultaneously explore the income/urbanization and sulfur dioxide emission nexus, using panel data together with semi-parametric panel fixed effects regression. The dataset was referred to a city-level panel of Jiangsu Province spanning the period 1991-2013. With this information, the study found evidence in support of an inverted U-shaped curve relationship between economic growth and sulfur dioxide emissions, but little evidence supporting a similar inference for urbanization and those emissions. Existence of the income-sulfur dioxide emission environmental Kuznets curve implied that the economic growth vs. sulfur dioxide emissions dilemma can be resolved while income continues to increase. Also, these findings contributed to advancing the emerging literature on the development-pollution nexus.

关 键 词：经济增长 城市化 二氧化硫排放 环境库茨涅茨 半参数固定效应模型 

分 类 号：X196[环境科学与工程—环境科学]