教育收益率的变动趋势及其MSD解释  

Trends in the Rates of Return to Education and the Explanation Based on MSD

作　　者：杨素红[1] 丁小浩[2] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学教育研究院,江苏南京210093 [2]北京大学教育经济研究所/国家发展研究院,北京100871

出　　处：《北京大学教育评论》2016年第4期105-123,共19页Peking University Education Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(71473005);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(15YJC880107);江苏省教育科学"十二五"规划2015年度重点资助课题(B-a/2015/01/003)

摘　　要：近年来,学者们对中国城镇居民教育收益率的变动趋势展开了多项研究,但对其变动原因则一直缺乏系统的有说服力的理论分析和实证研究。本文发现,目前国际学术界采用的"供给需求—制度"(SDI)框架对于理解单个经济体教育收益率变动趋势具有一定帮助,但对解释不同经济体教育收益率变动的适切性缺乏严谨的论证。SDI框架将"供给—需求"和制度割裂开来考察各自对教育收益率的独立影响,不能很好地解释中国城镇教育收益率的变动趋势。所以,本文提出"市场化:供给需求"(MSD)框架,探讨市场化程度与供求因素的交互影响以及"供给—需求"关系变动对教育收益率的影响,验证了MSD框架对解释多经济体教育收益率变动趋势的适切性。In recent years,scholars have conducted a number of studies on the trends in the rates of return to education in urban China,although the trends' explanations have always been lacking systematic and convincing theoretical analysis and empirical research.Among the international literatures,it is helpful to adopt the framework of 'Supply-Demand-Institutions'(SDI) to understand the trends in the rates of return to education in one economy.However,the SDI framework which lacks rigorous justification of the appropriateness in different economies,exploring the effects of 'supplydemand' and institutions separately,has failed in the case of urban China.Therefore,this study puts forward a framework of 'Marketization:SupplyDemand'(MSD),which explores the interactive influence between marketization and supply-demand factors,along with the effect of 'supplydemand' changes on the rates of return to education.Furthermore,this analysis verified the appropriateness in adopting MSD to explain trends in multiple economies.

关 键 词：教育收益率 变动趋势 “市场化 供给-需求” 

分 类 号：G40-054[文化科学—教育学原理]