环境规制与经济增长可以双赢吗——基于我国“两控区”的实证研究  

The Win-win Relationship between Environmental Regulation and Economic Growth:Evidence from TCZ Policies in China

作　　者：吴明琴[1,2] 周诗敏[2] 陈家昌[2] 

机构地区：[1]华南师范大学华南市场经济研究中心,广东广州510006 [2]华南师范大学经济与管理学院,广东广州510006

出　　处：《当代经济科学》2016年第6期44-54,124,共11页Modern Economic Science

基　　金：广东省2015年度省公益研究与能力建设专项资金项目"环境规制对广东省产业转型升级和吸引外资的理论与实证研究:基于企业异质性的视角"(项目编号:2015A070704047);广东省教育厅育苗工程(人文社科)项目"产业集聚对企业养老;医疗保险支出的影响机制分析"(项目编号:2013WYM_0013);广州市科技计划项目"广州市产业集聚对企业社会保障支出的影响机制研究"(项目编号:2014Y4300024)的资助

摘　　要：本文以1998年实施的"两控区"政策作为一次自然试验,采用1992年至2009年期间280个重点城市的社会经济发展数据为样本,并借助倍差分析法对"两控区"政策与经济发展的关系进行实证研究。结果表明,在实施"两控区"政策后,相比非"两控区"城市而言,"两控区"城市的人均GDP增加了8.3%,人均工业GDP增加了16.8%。这意味着,施行合适而严厉的环境规制能够促进社会经济的发展,实现环境保护与经济增长的双赢局面。另外,我们还对"两控区"城市的地理、空间、政治等不同属性进行了一系列稳健性检验。We take the 'Acid Rain Control Zone and SO2 Pollution Control Zone'( TCZ) policy that was implemented in 1998 as a natural experiment. Based on a large society and economy development dataset of280 key cities in China from 1992-2009,this paper investigates the relationship between the policy of the TCZ and economic growth by employing the empirical method of difference-in-difference( DID). The results demonstrate that the policy of TCZ caused the GDP per capita to increase by 8. 30% and the industrial GDP per capita to increase by 16. 30%. This implies that implement of the appropriate and draconian environmental regulation can significantly promote economic development,and achieve a win-win situation for both the environmental protection and economic growth. Finally,the results are robust to a series of specification tests which include the test of difference of the geography,spatial distribution and the political factors in the TCZ cities.

关 键 词：环境规制 经济发展 “两控区”政策 倍差分析法 

分 类 号：X22[环境科学与工程—环境科学] F124[经济管理—世界经济]