发展自动驾驶汽车的挑战和前景展望  

The Study on the Challenge and Development Prospect of Automated Vehicles

作　　者：陈晓博[1] CHEN Xiaobo(Institute of Comprehensive Transportation of NDRC, Beijing 100038,China)

机构地区：[1]国家发展和改革委员会综合运输研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《综合运输》2016年第11期9-13,共5页China Transportation Review

摘　　要：自动驾驶汽车是未来汽车的发展方向，也是道路交通具有革命性影响的交通工具。随着人工智能、传感检测等核心技术的突破和完善以及整体可靠性的提升，自动驾驶汽车会逐步被公众接受，成为出行和物流工具。但是，从当前的初步应用阶段，到成熟推广阶段乃至全面普及阶段的过程可能需要很长时间，技术成熟之后还要解决立法推行问题、以及社会心态调整的漫长阶段。自动驾驶汽车是未来汽车产业和信息产业的一个制高点，其研发能力将直接反映国家工业竞争力。从全球各国政府和企业的发展行动来看，未来5～10年将是发展自动驾驶非常关键的时期。The automated vehicle is the future direction of vehicles, and will make there volutionary effect on the road way transportation. With the break through of artificial intellegence and sensing detection technology and the improvement of the system reliability, the automated vehicles will be gradually accepted by the public. But, from the current primary application phase, to the the acceptable mature phase and to the all-around popularization phase will be a long period with legislation and social acceptance challenge. The automated vehicles are the future commanding heights of t4he automobile industry and information industry which will reflect the National industrial competitiveness. Based on the global governments and enterprises plan, the next 5-10 years will be a critical period.

关 键 词：自动驾驶汽车 发展前景 技术和政策 

分 类 号：U46[机械工程—车辆工程]