需求不确定下闭环供应链动态产能规划研究  

Research on Dynamic Capacity Planning for Closed-loop Supply Chain under Uncertain Demand

作　　者：蔚小红[1] 李景峰[2] 毋江波[1] 王继光[1] 

机构地区：[1]山西大学经济与管理学院,山西太原030006 [2]山西大学管理与决策研究所,山西太原030006

出　　处：《经济问题》2016年第12期81-85,共5页On Economic Problems

基　　金：山西省特色重点学科项目(201205738)

摘　　要：制造商对回收的产品实施再制造,形成生产和再制造并存的模式,使闭环供应链系统呈现出复杂的动态行为。面对需求的不确定,如何进行动态的产能规划显得尤为重要。利用系统动力学方法对一个制造商和一个零售商构成的两级闭环供应链系统进行建模及仿真研究。通过分析系统复杂的动态行为及其对系统供应链绩效的影响发现,为实现供应链系统利润的最大化,制造商进行动态产能规划时不仅要考虑自身所拥有产能的水平,也要考虑再制造比例的影响。When Original Equipment Manufacturer implements a remanufacturing process with the recycled products, the closed -loop supply chain system in which production is integrated with the remanufacturing activity shows complex dynamical behavior. Under uncertain demand, how OEM making dynamic capacity planning was particularly important. In this paper, System Dynamics was used for modeling and simulating the closed - loop sup- ply chain system that is composed of one manufacturer and one retailer. Through the analysis of the complex dynam- ical behavior of the system and its effect on system supply chain performance, we found that to maximize the profit of supply chain system, OEM for dynamic capacity planning should not only consider his own capacity level, but al- so the effect of remanufacturing proportion.

关 键 词：闭环供应链 动态产能规划 系统动力学 需求不确定 

分 类 号：F272.3[经济管理—企业管理]