高速铁路综合客运枢纽吸引力模型研究  

Attraction Model of High-speed Railway Comprehensive Passenger Hub

作　　者：陈坚[1] 霍娅敏[2] 吴丹[2] 赵翰林[3] 

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学重庆市交通运输工程重点实验室,重庆400074 [2]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,成都610031 [3]重庆交通大学交通运输学院,重庆400074

出　　处：《交通运输系统工程与信息》2016年第6期22-26,39,共6页Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51308569);重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究重点项目(14SKG03);重庆市社会科学规划培育项目(2015PY36);重庆市交通运输工程重点实验室开放基金项目(2016CQJY002)~~

摘　　要：为解决目前大量新建高铁客运枢纽缺少直观定量综合效益评估指标与模型的问题,提出了枢纽吸引力这一概念,用以描述枢纽吸引客流的能力大小,通过直接客流和间接客流两部分系统预测枢纽及其周边区域客流发生吸引量.以枢纽功能价值最大化为目标函数,确定枢纽成本和能力约束下的最优服务半径,从而建立枢纽吸引力分析方法.最后,以建设中的重庆高铁西客站综合交通枢纽为实例,计算得出2020年和2030年枢纽总客流量分别为13.527万人次和21.081万人次,吸引力为1 781.51万、2 179.78万(人次·km/日),从而为客观衡量枢纽自身价值及对其城市发展的贡献提供了一种具有可比性的新方法.In order to solve the problem of the lack of direct visual and quantitative comprehensive evaluation index and model for a large number of newly built high-speed railway passenger hub, the concept of hub attraction for describing the capacity of the hub to attract passenger flow is put forward, through direct and indirect passenger flow systematically forecast the amount of passenger flow of the hub and the surrounding area. Regarding the value maximization of the hub function as the objective function, then the optimal service radius under the cost and the capacity constraints is determined, and the hub attractiveness analysis method is established. Finally, taking the comprehensive transportation hub of west railway station building in Chongqing as an example, and calculating that in 2020 and 2030 the total passenger traffic are 135 270 person- time and 210 810 person- time, meanwhile, the attractive force are 17 815 100person-time ？ km/day and 21 797 800 person-time· km/day in 2020 and 2030, so a new comparable method for the objective measurement of the value of the hub and its contribution to urban development is proposed.

关 键 词：铁路运输 客运枢纽 吸引力 功能价值 服务半径 

分 类 号：U491.1[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]